On February 22, 2026, violence escalated in parts of Mexico following a major security operation in Jalisco in which Mexico’s Ministry of National Defense reported the death of Nemesio Rubén Oseguera Cervantes, also known as El Mencho, leader of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel. In the immediate aftermath, authorities reported retaliatory activity linked to criminal groups, including vehicle fires, road blockages, and localized attacks across multiple areas. The US Embassy and Consulates in Mexico and other governments issued security alerts and travel-related guidance, warning that conditions could change quickly in affected states.
Although widespread service disruptions are not the base case, the near-term risk environment remains elevated and mobility-driven, with implications for employee safety, commuting, site access, intercity travel, and cross-site movement. For global services firms and GCCs operating in Mexico, impacts are more likely to appear as short-notice absenteeism, delayed shift starts, and constraints on on-site staffing rather than immediate, widespread outages.
This Risk Radar outlines indicators to monitor, how risk can vary materially by metro and commuting corridor, and the actions firms should take to protect people and stabilize delivery – such as activating incident protocols, issuing commuting guidance, triggering remote-first policies, maintaining clear client communications, and preparing cross-site load-balancing.
